Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.9% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil reaching its all-time high of $410.45 from December 2025 by April 30, driven by spot prices hovering around $94 per barrel as of April 17—over 75% below the peak—amid persistent supply gluts from non-OPEC+ producers and rising U.S. inventories reported last week. Recent declines, including a 1.85% monthly drop, reflect softer global demand growth and an Iran ceasefire easing geopolitical premiums, with futures for April delivery at $98.32 signaling no imminent surge. Tail risks include sudden Middle East supply disruptions or extreme weather, though these face high barriers in the final two weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetrolio greggio ai massimi storici entro il 30 aprile?
Petrolio greggio ai massimi storici entro il 30 aprile?
Sì
$258,007 Vol.
$258,007 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$258,007 Vol.
$258,007 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.9% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil reaching its all-time high of $410.45 from December 2025 by April 30, driven by spot prices hovering around $94 per barrel as of April 17—over 75% below the peak—amid persistent supply gluts from non-OPEC+ producers and rising U.S. inventories reported last week. Recent declines, including a 1.85% monthly drop, reflect softer global demand growth and an Iran ceasefire easing geopolitical premiums, with futures for April delivery at $98.32 signaling no imminent surge. Tail risks include sudden Middle East supply disruptions or extreme weather, though these face high barriers in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$258,007Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.9% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil reaching its all-time high of $410.45 from December 2025 by April 30, driven by spot prices hovering around $94 per barrel as of April 17—over 75% below the peak—amid persistent supply gluts from non-OPEC+ producers and rising U.S. inventories reported last week. Recent declines, including a 1.85% monthly drop, reflect softer global demand growth and an Iran ceasefire easing geopolitical premiums, with futures for April delivery at $98.32 signaling no imminent surge. Tail risks include sudden Middle East supply disruptions or extreme weather, though these face high barriers in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$259,677Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.9% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil reaching its all-time high of $410.45 from December 2025 by April 30, driven by spot prices hovering around $94 per barrel as of April 17—over 75% below the peak—amid persistent supply gluts from non-OPEC+ producers and rising U.S. inventories reported last week. Recent declines, including a 1.85% monthly drop, reflect softer global demand growth and an Iran ceasefire easing geopolitical premiums, with futures for April delivery at $98.32 signaling no imminent surge. Tail risks include sudden Middle East supply disruptions or extreme weather, though these face high barriers in the final two weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti