US airstrikes targeted military installations including bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots on Kharg Island as recently as April 7, but US officials confirmed the oil terminal—handling nearly all of Iran's crude exports—was deliberately spared to avert global energy market chaos. This restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, featuring Iranian drone and missile retaliation on Gulf tankers and US threats of further action, underscores trader consensus on contained escalation. No verified kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals like stalled talks and Trump's warnings of potential seizure adding uncertainty ahead of any Strait of Hormuz disruptions or intensified military operations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,976,284 Vol.

30 aprile
7%
$1,976,284 Vol.

30 aprile
7%
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US airstrikes targeted military installations including bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots on Kharg Island as recently as April 7, but US officials confirmed the oil terminal—handling nearly all of Iran's crude exports—was deliberately spared to avert global energy market chaos. This restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, featuring Iranian drone and missile retaliation on Gulf tankers and US threats of further action, underscores trader consensus on contained escalation. No verified kinetic strike has hit the terminal itself in the past 30 days, with diplomatic signals like stalled talks and Trump's warnings of potential seizure adding uncertainty ahead of any Strait of Hormuz disruptions or intensified military operations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti