Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his metronomic pace of 35-40 tweets daily over the past week, with a seven-day average around 271 posts amid sustained high-volume engagement. Recent catalysts include viral Tesla Full Self-Driving footage in LA drawing massive views, Grok-4.20 topping Chatbot Arena legal benchmarks, and pointed critiques of OpenAI's practices plus WhatsApp privacy scandals, fueling reply threads and quote activity. With two days remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, any breaking Tesla, xAI, or political developments could push toward 320-339 (26.1%) or elevate totals, though historical patterns suggest steady rather than explosive surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato300-319 40%
320-339 23.6%
280-299 18.9%
340-359 9.0%
$9,645,709 Vol.
$9,645,709 Vol.
17 apr 2026
240-259
<1%
260-279
2%
280-299
19%
300-319
40%
320-339
24%
340-359
9%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 40%
320-339 23.6%
280-299 18.9%
340-359 9.0%
$9,645,709 Vol.
$9,645,709 Vol.
17 apr 2026
240-259
$825,490 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$531,253 Vol.
2%
280-299
$411,860 Vol.
19%
300-319
$332,297 Vol.
40%
320-339
$428,912 Vol.
24%
340-359
$338,136 Vol.
9%
360-379
$353,576 Vol.
3%
380-399
$298,464 Vol.
1%
400-419
$279,264 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$417,468 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,849 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$265,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$183,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$349,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his metronomic pace of 35-40 tweets daily over the past week, with a seven-day average around 271 posts amid sustained high-volume engagement. Recent catalysts include viral Tesla Full Self-Driving footage in LA drawing massive views, Grok-4.20 topping Chatbot Arena legal benchmarks, and pointed critiques of OpenAI's practices plus WhatsApp privacy scandals, fueling reply threads and quote activity. With two days remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, any breaking Tesla, xAI, or political developments could push toward 320-339 (26.1%) or elevate totals, though historical patterns suggest steady rather than explosive surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,645,709Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his metronomic pace of 35-40 tweets daily over the past week, with a seven-day average around 271 posts amid sustained high-volume engagement. Recent catalysts include viral Tesla Full Self-Driving footage in LA drawing massive views, Grok-4.20 topping Chatbot Arena legal benchmarks, and pointed critiques of OpenAI's practices plus WhatsApp privacy scandals, fueling reply threads and quote activity. With two days remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, any breaking Tesla, xAI, or political developments could push toward 320-339 (26.1%) or elevate totals, though historical patterns suggest steady rather than explosive surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,645,709Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting his metronomic pace of 35-40 tweets daily over the past week, with a seven-day average around 271 posts amid sustained high-volume engagement. Recent catalysts include viral Tesla Full Self-Driving footage in LA drawing massive views, Grok-4.20 topping Chatbot Arena legal benchmarks, and pointed critiques of OpenAI's practices plus WhatsApp privacy scandals, fueling reply threads and quote activity. With two days remaining until the April 17 12:00 PM ET close, any breaking Tesla, xAI, or political developments could push toward 320-339 (26.1%) or elevate totals, though historical patterns suggest steady rather than explosive surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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