Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-319 posts (46.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his current pace of 267 posts over six days elapsed as of April 16 morning, averaging 45 daily—down from an explosive 57/day early surge including 120+ spikes on April 12 amid viral culture war commentary and SpaceX buzz. The recent slowdown to roughly 30 posts per day post-April 13 reflects quieter engagement on politics, tech updates like Grok and Starlink, and pop culture moments, positioning 280-299 (23.6%) as a close second. With under two days remaining, any late spike from breaking news could shift odds, but traders bet on sustained moderation absent major catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato300-319 47%
280-299 23.3%
320-339 19.8%
340-359 6.0%
$10,006,856 Vol.
$10,006,856 Vol.
17 apr 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
23%
300-319
47%
320-339
20%
340-359
6%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 47%
280-299 23.3%
320-339 19.8%
340-359 6.0%
$10,006,856 Vol.
$10,006,856 Vol.
17 apr 2026
260-279
$600,304 Vol.
1%
280-299
$430,841 Vol.
23%
300-319
$342,917 Vol.
47%
320-339
$443,901 Vol.
20%
340-359
$366,262 Vol.
6%
360-379
$388,774 Vol.
2%
380-399
$335,021 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$406,974 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-319 posts (46.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his current pace of 267 posts over six days elapsed as of April 16 morning, averaging 45 daily—down from an explosive 57/day early surge including 120+ spikes on April 12 amid viral culture war commentary and SpaceX buzz. The recent slowdown to roughly 30 posts per day post-April 13 reflects quieter engagement on politics, tech updates like Grok and Starlink, and pop culture moments, positioning 280-299 (23.6%) as a close second. With under two days remaining, any late spike from breaking news could shift odds, but traders bet on sustained moderation absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,006,856Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-319 posts (46.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his current pace of 267 posts over six days elapsed as of April 16 morning, averaging 45 daily—down from an explosive 57/day early surge including 120+ spikes on April 12 amid viral culture war commentary and SpaceX buzz. The recent slowdown to roughly 30 posts per day post-April 13 reflects quieter engagement on politics, tech updates like Grok and Starlink, and pop culture moments, positioning 280-299 (23.6%) as a close second. With under two days remaining, any late spike from breaking news could shift odds, but traders bet on sustained moderation absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,006,856Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 300-319 posts (46.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his current pace of 267 posts over six days elapsed as of April 16 morning, averaging 45 daily—down from an explosive 57/day early surge including 120+ spikes on April 12 amid viral culture war commentary and SpaceX buzz. The recent slowdown to roughly 30 posts per day post-April 13 reflects quieter engagement on politics, tech updates like Grok and Starlink, and pop culture moments, positioning 280-299 (23.6%) as a close second. With under two days remaining, any late spike from breaking news could shift odds, but traders bet on sustained moderation absent major catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti