Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, reflecting his established daily posting average of 20-30, as evidenced by 22 posts on April 2 and 27 on April 11. Recent days show steadier output, with only a handful of confirmed replies on April 15 critiquing South African race laws and Apple-Google app policies, aligning with typical non-event pacing absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements. Lower ranges like 40-64 (27.5%) gain traction if quieter weekends prevail, while upside risks to 90+ hinge on viral engagement spikes; resolution hinges on exact 72-hour count at April 18 noon ET, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65-89 40%
40-64 28%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$159,903 Vol.
$159,903 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
4%
40-64
28%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 28%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$159,903 Vol.
$159,903 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
$30,994 Vol.
4%
40-64
$10,655 Vol.
28%
65-89
$5,378 Vol.
40%
90-114
$7,324 Vol.
19%
115-139
$9,507 Vol.
10%
140-164
$10,589 Vol.
3%
165-189
$19,143 Vol.
1%
190-214
$23,621 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$12,442 Vol.
<1%
240+
$30,449 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, reflecting his established daily posting average of 20-30, as evidenced by 22 posts on April 2 and 27 on April 11. Recent days show steadier output, with only a handful of confirmed replies on April 15 critiquing South African race laws and Apple-Google app policies, aligning with typical non-event pacing absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements. Lower ranges like 40-64 (27.5%) gain traction if quieter weekends prevail, while upside risks to 90+ hinge on viral engagement spikes; resolution hinges on exact 72-hour count at April 18 noon ET, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$159,903Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, reflecting his established daily posting average of 20-30, as evidenced by 22 posts on April 2 and 27 on April 11. Recent days show steadier output, with only a handful of confirmed replies on April 15 critiquing South African race laws and Apple-Google app policies, aligning with typical non-event pacing absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements. Lower ranges like 40-64 (27.5%) gain traction if quieter weekends prevail, while upside risks to 90+ hinge on viral engagement spikes; resolution hinges on exact 72-hour count at April 18 noon ET, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$159,903Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 16 to 18, 2026, reflecting his established daily posting average of 20-30, as evidenced by 22 posts on April 2 and 27 on April 11. Recent days show steadier output, with only a handful of confirmed replies on April 15 critiquing South African race laws and Apple-Google app policies, aligning with typical non-event pacing absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements. Lower ranges like 40-64 (27.5%) gain traction if quieter weekends prevail, while upside risks to 90+ hinge on viral engagement spikes; resolution hinges on exact 72-hour count at April 18 noon ET, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media habits.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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