Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 26.5%, reflecting his recent metronomic pace of 35-42 posts per day as tracked in resolved markets like April 11-13's 115-139 tally and ongoing April 10-17's 249 posts over six days. This positioning stems from consistent high-volume engagement on SpaceX feats, Tesla FSD demos, South African policy critiques, and viral culture clashes like Disney's greeting revival, without major catalysts like product launches to spike output over the upcoming weekend. No notable dips in the last 48 hours, but traders anticipate moderated activity amid routine political and tech commentary, with real-time X metrics poised to sway final tallies by April 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65-89 40%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$181,399 Vol.
$181,399 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
40%
90-114
20%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 11%
$181,399 Vol.
$181,399 Vol.
18 apr 2026
meno di 40
$32,755 Vol.
4%
40-64
$11,338 Vol.
27%
65-89
$5,970 Vol.
40%
90-114
$8,285 Vol.
20%
115-139
$11,473 Vol.
11%
140-164
$11,516 Vol.
3%
165-189
$19,919 Vol.
1%
190-214
$25,335 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$12,887 Vol.
<1%
240+
$42,114 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 26.5%, reflecting his recent metronomic pace of 35-42 posts per day as tracked in resolved markets like April 11-13's 115-139 tally and ongoing April 10-17's 249 posts over six days. This positioning stems from consistent high-volume engagement on SpaceX feats, Tesla FSD demos, South African policy critiques, and viral culture clashes like Disney's greeting revival, without major catalysts like product launches to spike output over the upcoming weekend. No notable dips in the last 48 hours, but traders anticipate moderated activity amid routine political and tech commentary, with real-time X metrics poised to sway final tallies by April 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$181,399Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 26.5%, reflecting his recent metronomic pace of 35-42 posts per day as tracked in resolved markets like April 11-13's 115-139 tally and ongoing April 10-17's 249 posts over six days. This positioning stems from consistent high-volume engagement on SpaceX feats, Tesla FSD demos, South African policy critiques, and viral culture clashes like Disney's greeting revival, without major catalysts like product launches to spike output over the upcoming weekend. No notable dips in the last 48 hours, but traders anticipate moderated activity amid routine political and tech commentary, with real-time X metrics poised to sway final tallies by April 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$181,399Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 26.5%, reflecting his recent metronomic pace of 35-42 posts per day as tracked in resolved markets like April 11-13's 115-139 tally and ongoing April 10-17's 249 posts over six days. This positioning stems from consistent high-volume engagement on SpaceX feats, Tesla FSD demos, South African policy critiques, and viral culture clashes like Disney's greeting revival, without major catalysts like product launches to spike output over the upcoming weekend. No notable dips in the last 48 hours, but traders anticipate moderated activity amid routine political and tech commentary, with real-time X metrics poised to sway final tallies by April 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti