Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, mirroring his consistent pace of 35-40 posts daily tracked via platforms like XTracker.io, with recent weeks hitting 285 totals amid steady engagement on Tesla inventory alerts, political replies, and tech commentary. The razor-thin margins among top bins (16.5% for 260-279, 15.5% each for 240-259 and 280-299) stem from daily variances—lows near 30, spikes to 120+ on viral days—without major catalysts in the past 48 hours like SpaceX launches or earnings calls to decisively shift volume. Key swing factors include potential controversy or announcements, as Musk's skin-in-the-game platform ownership amplifies unpredictable bursts in social media momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$823,396 Vol.
$823,396 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$823,396 Vol.
$823,396 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, mirroring his consistent pace of 35-40 posts daily tracked via platforms like XTracker.io, with recent weeks hitting 285 totals amid steady engagement on Tesla inventory alerts, political replies, and tech commentary. The razor-thin margins among top bins (16.5% for 260-279, 15.5% each for 240-259 and 280-299) stem from daily variances—lows near 30, spikes to 120+ on viral days—without major catalysts in the past 48 hours like SpaceX launches or earnings calls to decisively shift volume. Key swing factors include potential controversy or announcements, as Musk's skin-in-the-game platform ownership amplifies unpredictable bursts in social media momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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