The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75% following its July 29, 2026 meeting, amid a 9-3 vote split and June CPI inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. With economic activity expanding solidly and the central bank prioritizing price stability amid lingering energy pressures, trader consensus reflects expectations of a prolonged pause or potential hikes rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent FOMC projections and fed funds futures pricing in stability through year-end further reinforce this view. A severe downturn in labor data, renewed geopolitical shocks, or sharp financial market dislocation could still prompt action, though current indicators show limited scope for such urgency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$122,486 Vol.
$122,486 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$122,486 Vol.
$122,486 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75% following its July 29, 2026 meeting, amid a 9-3 vote split and June CPI inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. With economic activity expanding solidly and the central bank prioritizing price stability amid lingering energy pressures, trader consensus reflects expectations of a prolonged pause or potential hikes rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent FOMC projections and fed funds futures pricing in stability through year-end further reinforce this view. A severe downturn in labor data, renewed geopolitical shocks, or sharp financial market dislocation could still prompt action, though current indicators show limited scope for such urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$122,486Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75% following its July 29, 2026 meeting, amid a 9-3 vote split and June CPI inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. With economic activity expanding solidly and the central bank prioritizing price stability amid lingering energy pressures, trader consensus reflects expectations of a prolonged pause or potential hikes rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent FOMC projections and fed funds futures pricing in stability through year-end further reinforce this view. A severe downturn in labor data, renewed geopolitical shocks, or sharp financial market dislocation could still prompt action, though current indicators show limited scope for such urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$122,486Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75% following its July 29, 2026 meeting, amid a 9-3 vote split and June CPI inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. With economic activity expanding solidly and the central bank prioritizing price stability amid lingering energy pressures, trader consensus reflects expectations of a prolonged pause or potential hikes rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent FOMC projections and fed funds futures pricing in stability through year-end further reinforce this view. A severe downturn in labor data, renewed geopolitical shocks, or sharp financial market dislocation could still prompt action, though current indicators show limited scope for such urgency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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