Strong U.S. economic resilience, with GDP growth around 2% and unemployment near 4.3-4.5%, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. The Fed has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% amid persistent inflation above its 2% goal, with futures and analyst outlooks pointing to steady or even higher rates through late 2026 rather than crisis-driven easing. Traders see limited near-term recession risk, supported by steady job creation and investment-led expansion, reducing the odds of acute financial stress that would trigger unscheduled action. A sudden geopolitical shock, sharp labor-market deterioration, or major banking event could still prompt a response, though current data show no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$122,465 Vol.
$122,465 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$122,465 Vol.
$122,465 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong U.S. economic resilience, with GDP growth around 2% and unemployment near 4.3-4.5%, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. The Fed has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% amid persistent inflation above its 2% goal, with futures and analyst outlooks pointing to steady or even higher rates through late 2026 rather than crisis-driven easing. Traders see limited near-term recession risk, supported by steady job creation and investment-led expansion, reducing the odds of acute financial stress that would trigger unscheduled action. A sudden geopolitical shock, sharp labor-market deterioration, or major banking event could still prompt a response, though current data show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$122,465Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong U.S. economic resilience, with GDP growth around 2% and unemployment near 4.3-4.5%, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. The Fed has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% amid persistent inflation above its 2% goal, with futures and analyst outlooks pointing to steady or even higher rates through late 2026 rather than crisis-driven easing. Traders see limited near-term recession risk, supported by steady job creation and investment-led expansion, reducing the odds of acute financial stress that would trigger unscheduled action. A sudden geopolitical shock, sharp labor-market deterioration, or major banking event could still prompt a response, though current data show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$122,465Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong U.S. economic resilience, with GDP growth around 2% and unemployment near 4.3-4.5%, underpins the 94% market-implied probability against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. The Fed has held the federal funds target at 3.50-3.75% amid persistent inflation above its 2% goal, with futures and analyst outlooks pointing to steady or even higher rates through late 2026 rather than crisis-driven easing. Traders see limited near-term recession risk, supported by steady job creation and investment-led expansion, reducing the odds of acute financial stress that would trigger unscheduled action. A sudden geopolitical shock, sharp labor-market deterioration, or major banking event could still prompt a response, though current data show no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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