Current forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 46.5% and 34.5%. This positioning reflects Ankara’s continental climate, where August daytime highs typically average near 32°C under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation, supporting these values over cooler or hotter outliers. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential micro-scale variations or slight steering changes, though consensus points to minimal deviation from the 30–33°C range. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 19 agosto?
31°C 47%
32°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
47%
32°C
35%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$42 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$11 Vol.
9%
31°C
$91 Vol.
47%
32°C
$49 Vol.
35%
33°C
$112 Vol.
8%
34°C
$19 Vol.
3%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 46.5% and 34.5%. This positioning reflects Ankara’s continental climate, where August daytime highs typically average near 32°C under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation, supporting these values over cooler or hotter outliers. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential micro-scale variations or slight steering changes, though consensus points to minimal deviation from the 30–33°C range. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$534Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 46.5% and 34.5%. This positioning reflects Ankara’s continental climate, where August daytime highs typically average near 32°C under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation, supporting these values over cooler or hotter outliers. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential micro-scale variations or slight steering changes, though consensus points to minimal deviation from the 30–33°C range. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$534Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 46.5% and 34.5%. This positioning reflects Ankara’s continental climate, where August daytime highs typically average near 32°C under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation, supporting these values over cooler or hotter outliers. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential micro-scale variations or slight steering changes, though consensus points to minimal deviation from the 30–33°C range. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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