Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on May 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 5?
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$78,438 Vol.
$78,438 Vol.
5 mag 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$78,438 Vol.
$78,438 Vol.
5 mag 2026
45°F or below
$7,038 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$5,409 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$22,289 Vol.
Yes
50-51°F
$8,197 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$8,147 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$8,329 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$10,349 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,872 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,589 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,248 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$1,970 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$78,438Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,438Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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