Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$208,387 Vol.
$208,387 Vol.
15 giu 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$208,387 Vol.
$208,387 Vol.
15 giu 2026
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
No
24°C
$303 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,106 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,941 Vol.
No
27°C
$29,964 Vol.
No
28°C
$24,586 Vol.
No
29°C
$63,802 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$33,324 Vol.
No
31°C
$27,582 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,153 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$7,692 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$208,387Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$208,387Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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