Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models show Istanbul's September 19 high temperature most likely reaching 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-September patterns in the region's Mediterranean climate, where daily maxima often hover near seasonal averages of 23–26°C. Trader consensus around 24°C at 58% implied probability captures the narrow range of current ensemble guidance, with limited upside potential from warmer advection and downside tempered by consistent model agreement on modest warming from recent 22–23°C readings. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine exact peak values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 19 settembre?
24°C 59%
23°C 35%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
20°C o inferiore
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
35%
24°C
59%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
2%
24°C 59%
23°C 35%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
20°C o inferiore
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
35%
24°C
59%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models show Istanbul's September 19 high temperature most likely reaching 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-September patterns in the region's Mediterranean climate, where daily maxima often hover near seasonal averages of 23–26°C. Trader consensus around 24°C at 58% implied probability captures the narrow range of current ensemble guidance, with limited upside potential from warmer advection and downside tempered by consistent model agreement on modest warming from recent 22–23°C readings. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine exact peak values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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