Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan l'11 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Jinan l'11 agosto?
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
16°C or below
$725 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,074 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,085Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,085Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer atmospheric patterns and recent China Meteorological Administration model runs support the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11. Mid-August climatology features average daily highs near 29–32°C, with frequent exceedances of 35°C during heat events driven by subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. Current forecasts align with this baseline, projecting maxima around 30–34°C amid typical humidity levels that moderate but do not suppress peak readings. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unusually heavy precipitation could theoretically cap temperatures below 26°C, yet such shifts remain inconsistent with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti