Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 12 agosto?
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$444 Vol.
1%
33°C
$754 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,279 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,620 Vol.
47%
36°C
$1,062 Vol.
32%
37°C
$775 Vol.
9%
38°C
$456 Vol.
2%
39°C o superiore
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,944Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,944Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Paris highs near 36–37°C (97–99°F) on August 12 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35°C (46.5%) and 36°C (30.5%) outcomes. A strong high-pressure ridge is sustaining warm southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, maximizing daytime insolation across the Île-de-France region. Recent early-August heat, including peaks near 37°C, has reinforced this pattern with no significant frontal cooling or increased moisture expected before mid-month. Météo-France guidance points to continued stable conditions, though ensemble spread leaves modest room for 34°C or 37°C shifts depending on exact timing of any afternoon mixing or slight wind changes. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus while pricing in typical model uncertainty for a two-day horizon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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