Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered convective activity are moderating daytime heating despite seasonal norms around 34°C. A regional rainfall deficit through early September has limited stronger cooling, while model consensus from multiple sources clusters highs between 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term conditions and the absence of clear-sky intensification against potential forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 15 settembre?
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 5%
27°C o meno
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
1%
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 5%
27°C o meno
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered convective activity are moderating daytime heating despite seasonal norms around 34°C. A regional rainfall deficit through early September has limited stronger cooling, while model consensus from multiple sources clusters highs between 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term conditions and the absence of clear-sky intensification against potential forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti