Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and extended-range models points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating for Milan on August 5. This setup supports maximum temperatures most likely reaching 36–37 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early August climatology shows typical highs near 29–30 °C, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects in the city center could add 1–2 °C locally. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, with only modest spread in ensemble solutions; updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 5 agosto?
36°C 53%
37°C 25%
35°C 14%
34°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
33°C or below
3%
34°C
5%
35°C
14%
36°C
53%
37°C
25%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 53%
37°C 25%
35°C 14%
34°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ago 2026
33°C or below
$142 Vol.
3%
34°C
$241 Vol.
5%
35°C
$80 Vol.
14%
36°C
$154 Vol.
53%
37°C
$56 Vol.
25%
38°C
$44 Vol.
4%
39°C
$18 Vol.
2%
40°C
$39 Vol.
1%
41°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and extended-range models points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating for Milan on August 5. This setup supports maximum temperatures most likely reaching 36–37 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early August climatology shows typical highs near 29–30 °C, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects in the city center could add 1–2 °C locally. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, with only modest spread in ensemble solutions; updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$907Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and extended-range models points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating for Milan on August 5. This setup supports maximum temperatures most likely reaching 36–37 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early August climatology shows typical highs near 29–30 °C, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects in the city center could add 1–2 °C locally. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, with only modest spread in ensemble solutions; updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$907Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC and extended-range models points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, favoring clear skies and strong daytime heating for Milan on August 5. This setup supports maximum temperatures most likely reaching 36–37 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Early August climatology shows typical highs near 29–30 °C, so the current pattern reflects above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Urban heat-island effects in the city center could add 1–2 °C locally. Model consensus remains tight through the short-range window, with only modest spread in ensemble solutions; updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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