Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 68-69°F (68%) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 60s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over California. This setup promotes partial burn-off of the persistent marine stratus layer—common in spring due to cool Pacific advection and west-northwest winds—allowing more solar heating than recent days' low- to mid-60s readings. Historical April climatology averages 64°F, but current model runs indicate reduced low-cloud cover, positioning 66-67°F (14%) as the main lower-risk alternative if fog lingers. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations resolving the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 61%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 14%
64-65°F 9%
NUOVO
$16,196 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,196 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
61%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 61%
70-71°F 18%
66-67°F 14%
64-65°F 9%
NUOVO
$16,196 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,196 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
$1,362 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,151 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,099 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$926 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$867 Vol.
14%
68-69°F
$1,585 Vol.
61%
70-71°F
$1,296 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$1,191 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,260 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 68-69°F (68%) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 60s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over California. This setup promotes partial burn-off of the persistent marine stratus layer—common in spring due to cool Pacific advection and west-northwest winds—allowing more solar heating than recent days' low- to mid-60s readings. Historical April climatology averages 64°F, but current model runs indicate reduced low-cloud cover, positioning 66-67°F (14%) as the main lower-risk alternative if fog lingers. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$16,196Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 68-69°F (68%) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 60s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over California. This setup promotes partial burn-off of the persistent marine stratus layer—common in spring due to cool Pacific advection and west-northwest winds—allowing more solar heating than recent days' low- to mid-60s readings. Historical April climatology averages 64°F, but current model runs indicate reduced low-cloud cover, positioning 66-67°F (14%) as the main lower-risk alternative if fog lingers. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,196Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 68-69°F (68%) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 60s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over California. This setup promotes partial burn-off of the persistent marine stratus layer—common in spring due to cool Pacific advection and west-northwest winds—allowing more solar heating than recent days' low- to mid-60s readings. Historical April climatology averages 64°F, but current model runs indicate reduced low-cloud cover, positioning 66-67°F (14%) as the main lower-risk alternative if fog lingers. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and real-time observations resolving the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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