Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service show a high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation, establishing the leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology centers on average daily highs of 31–32°C, and recent early-month observations plus short-range guidance indicate no significant heatwave or anomalous warming to push values toward 34°C or above, while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders weigh these consensus projections against minor model spread on exact peak timing and local microclimates, with final resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 agosto?
32°C 59%
33°C 48%
31°C 11%
30°C 9%
28°C or below
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
59%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
7%
32°C 59%
33°C 48%
31°C 11%
30°C 9%
28°C or below
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
59%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service show a high near 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation, establishing the leading 59% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology centers on average daily highs of 31–32°C, and recent early-month observations plus short-range guidance indicate no significant heatwave or anomalous warming to push values toward 34°C or above, while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders weigh these consensus projections against minor model spread on exact peak timing and local microclimates, with final resolution hinging on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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