Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 4?
32°C 100%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,485 Vol.
$47,485 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,485 Vol.
$47,485 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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