Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring light westerly winds, moderate humidity around 50-60%, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating. Historical September averages hover near 28-29°C, with recent days showing highs of 29-31°C under stable high-pressure influence and no significant synoptic disturbances. Minor model spreads introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring 30-31°C outcomes in trader assessments while keeping lower or higher extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 22 settembre?
30°C 53%
31°C 35%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
27°C o inferiore
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
53%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
1%
30°C 53%
31°C 35%
29°C 19%
32°C 18%
27°C o inferiore
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
53%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring light westerly winds, moderate humidity around 50-60%, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating. Historical September averages hover near 28-29°C, with recent days showing highs of 29-31°C under stable high-pressure influence and no significant synoptic disturbances. Minor model spreads introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, favoring 30-31°C outcomes in trader assessments while keeping lower or higher extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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