Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 9 most likely between 28–30 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with light winds shifting southwest. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (27 %), as modest differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Later northwest winds and a low risk of evening showers introduce limited downside risk, keeping lower outcomes such as 28 °C at 20.5 % in play while capping higher probabilities for 31 °C or above. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thermal and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 9 settembre?
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$39 Vol.
1%
26°C
$64 Vol.
3%
27°C
$98 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,877 Vol.
20%
29°C
$1,030 Vol.
35%
30°C
$891 Vol.
28%
31°C
$556 Vol.
11%
32°C
$58 Vol.
1%
33°C
$123 Vol.
1%
34°C
$601 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 9 most likely between 28–30 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with light winds shifting southwest. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (27 %), as modest differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Later northwest winds and a low risk of evening showers introduce limited downside risk, keeping lower outcomes such as 28 °C at 20.5 % in play while capping higher probabilities for 31 °C or above. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thermal and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,908Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 9 most likely between 28–30 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with light winds shifting southwest. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (27 %), as modest differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Later northwest winds and a low risk of evening showers introduce limited downside risk, keeping lower outcomes such as 28 °C at 20.5 % in play while capping higher probabilities for 31 °C or above. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thermal and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,908Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 9 most likely between 28–30 °C, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with light winds shifting southwest. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 29 °C (34.5 %) and 30 °C (27 %), as modest differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Later northwest winds and a low risk of evening showers introduce limited downside risk, keeping lower outcomes such as 28 °C at 20.5 % in play while capping higher probabilities for 31 °C or above. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thermal and moisture profiles ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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