Current meteorological ensemble forecasts for Wuhan in early August position the daily maximum near 36–38 °C, reflecting the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, Yangtze valley location, and typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. High humidity and weak steering winds limit overnight cooling while strong solar insolation and urban heat-island effects push afternoon peaks higher, producing the narrow spread among 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance for cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and short-term pressure gradients account for the closely matched probabilities. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 4 agosto?
37°C 33%
38°C 27%
36°C 24%
35°C 12%
32°C o inferiore
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
12%
36°C
24%
37°C
33%
38°C
27%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C o superiore
1%
37°C 33%
38°C 27%
36°C 24%
35°C 12%
32°C o inferiore
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
12%
36°C
24%
37°C
33%
38°C
27%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological ensemble forecasts for Wuhan in early August position the daily maximum near 36–38 °C, reflecting the city’s subtropical monsoon climate, Yangtze valley location, and typical late-summer atmospheric conditions. High humidity and weak steering winds limit overnight cooling while strong solar insolation and urban heat-island effects push afternoon peaks higher, producing the narrow spread among 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C outcomes. Minor differences in model guidance for cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and short-term pressure gradients account for the closely matched probabilities. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti