SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, following its May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and plans for a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12 at a targeted $135 per share to raise up to $75 billion, underpins the 96.9% market-implied probability for a June debut. This reflects completed regulatory review, an imminent roadshow, and strong institutional demand amid favorable equity market conditions for large tech offerings. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, aligns with these confirmed steps while acknowledging that unexpected delays from final pricing negotiations, broader market volatility, or unforeseen regulatory adjustments could realistically push the event into July or later.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGiugno 96.8%
Luglio 1.6%
Settembre 1.0%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 <1%
$433,928 Vol.
$433,928 Vol.
Giugno
97%
Luglio
2%
Agosto
1%
Settembre
1%
Ottobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
1%
Giugno 96.8%
Luglio 1.6%
Settembre 1.0%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 <1%
$433,928 Vol.
$433,928 Vol.
Giugno
97%
Luglio
2%
Agosto
1%
Settembre
1%
Ottobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, following its May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and plans for a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12 at a targeted $135 per share to raise up to $75 billion, underpins the 96.9% market-implied probability for a June debut. This reflects completed regulatory review, an imminent roadshow, and strong institutional demand amid favorable equity market conditions for large tech offerings. Trader consensus, backed by real capital on Polymarket, aligns with these confirmed steps while acknowledging that unexpected delays from final pricing negotiations, broader market volatility, or unforeseen regulatory adjustments could realistically push the event into July or later.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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