SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a June IPO, with market-implied odds at 65.5% reflecting accelerated roadshow plans starting the week of June 8 and site visits for anchor investors underway as of April 15. Robust fundamentals underpin the positioning, including 82% global launch dominance, $8 billion net profit in 2025, and Starlink's projected $20–24 billion revenue contribution in 2026 at 63% EBITDA margins, supporting a $1.75 trillion valuation target for a potential $75 billion raise. July trails at 16.8% amid typical delays in IPO processes, while "No IPO before 2027" odds at 5.5% signal low skepticism; traders eye SEC review progress and market conditions ahead of pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGiugno 66%
Luglio 16.8%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 5.5%
Agosto 4.3%
$233,600 Vol.
$233,600 Vol.
Aprile
1%
Maggio
3%
Giugno
66%
Luglio
17%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
2%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
6%
Giugno 66%
Luglio 16.8%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 5.5%
Agosto 4.3%
$233,600 Vol.
$233,600 Vol.
Aprile
1%
Maggio
3%
Giugno
66%
Luglio
17%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
2%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a June IPO, with market-implied odds at 65.5% reflecting accelerated roadshow plans starting the week of June 8 and site visits for anchor investors underway as of April 15. Robust fundamentals underpin the positioning, including 82% global launch dominance, $8 billion net profit in 2025, and Starlink's projected $20–24 billion revenue contribution in 2026 at 63% EBITDA margins, supporting a $1.75 trillion valuation target for a potential $75 billion raise. July trails at 16.8% amid typical delays in IPO processes, while "No IPO before 2027" odds at 5.5% signal low skepticism; traders eye SEC review progress and market conditions ahead of pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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