Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability in the June 3 Incheon mayoral election, driven by consistent March polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party's Yoo Jeong-bok by 20-27 points amid strong Democratic support rates above 50%. His March 4 single nomination, role in the prior Yoon impeachment, and April 12 "one-team" pledges with Seoul and Gyeonggi candidates bolstering Lee Jae-myung government priorities have solidified his frontrunner status in this capital-region battleground. While PPP internal disarray hampers Yoo, potential shifts from late scandals, voter turnout swings favoring the incumbent, or campaign gaffes could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Park Chan-dae 95%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.1%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
Bae June-young <1%
$2,475,874 Vol.
$2,475,874 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
95%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
Park Chan-dae 95%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.1%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
Bae June-young <1%
$2,475,874 Vol.
$2,475,874 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
95%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability in the June 3 Incheon mayoral election, driven by consistent March polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party's Yoo Jeong-bok by 20-27 points amid strong Democratic support rates above 50%. His March 4 single nomination, role in the prior Yoon impeachment, and April 12 "one-team" pledges with Seoul and Gyeonggi candidates bolstering Lee Jae-myung government priorities have solidified his frontrunner status in this capital-region battleground. While PPP internal disarray hampers Yoo, potential shifts from late scandals, voter turnout swings favoring the incumbent, or campaign gaffes could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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