Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's resilience following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and top officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was swiftly elected successor on March 8, securing pledges from the IRGC, President Pezeshkian, and military leaders amid suppressed 2025-2026 protests that claimed thousands of lives. A fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire took hold April 8, despite failed Islamabad talks and a US naval blockade on April 13, with no reports of military defections, power struggles, or escalating internal instability. Ongoing economic strain and proxy conflicts have not triggered visible fractures, underscoring the security apparatus's control through June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$392,569 Vol.
$392,569 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$392,569 Vol.
$392,569 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's resilience following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and top officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was swiftly elected successor on March 8, securing pledges from the IRGC, President Pezeshkian, and military leaders amid suppressed 2025-2026 protests that claimed thousands of lives. A fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire took hold April 8, despite failed Islamabad talks and a US naval blockade on April 13, with no reports of military defections, power struggles, or escalating internal instability. Ongoing economic strain and proxy conflicts have not triggered visible fractures, underscoring the security apparatus's control through June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$392,569Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's resilience following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and top officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was swiftly elected successor on March 8, securing pledges from the IRGC, President Pezeshkian, and military leaders amid suppressed 2025-2026 protests that claimed thousands of lives. A fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire took hold April 8, despite failed Islamabad talks and a US naval blockade on April 13, with no reports of military defections, power struggles, or escalating internal instability. Ongoing economic strain and proxy conflicts have not triggered visible fractures, underscoring the security apparatus's control through June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$392,569Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 88% for an Iran coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the regime's resilience following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and top officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was swiftly elected successor on March 8, securing pledges from the IRGC, President Pezeshkian, and military leaders amid suppressed 2025-2026 protests that claimed thousands of lives. A fragile Pakistan-brokered ceasefire took hold April 8, despite failed Islamabad talks and a US naval blockade on April 13, with no reports of military defections, power struggles, or escalating internal instability. Ongoing economic strain and proxy conflicts have not triggered visible fractures, underscoring the security apparatus's control through June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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