**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a transitional air mass over Ankara on September 22, with daytime highs near 22–24 °C giving way to overnight lows shaped by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southwesterly winds.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, though localized variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture could produce a slightly cooler reading near 12 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with probabilities tightly grouped from 10–13 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest but non-zero for modest cooling if showers enhance evaporative effects or if winds remain lighter than projected. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical minima near 12–14 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus appears slightly milder due to the specific synoptic setup. Updated runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine the precise overnight minimum and any associated market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 22 settembre?
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C o superiore
4%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
7%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$33 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a transitional air mass over Ankara on September 22, with daytime highs near 22–24 °C giving way to overnight lows shaped by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southwesterly winds.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, though localized variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture could produce a slightly cooler reading near 12 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with probabilities tightly grouped from 10–13 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest but non-zero for modest cooling if showers enhance evaporative effects or if winds remain lighter than projected. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical minima near 12–14 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus appears slightly milder due to the specific synoptic setup. Updated runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine the precise overnight minimum and any associated market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$33Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a transitional air mass over Ankara on September 22, with daytime highs near 22–24 °C giving way to overnight lows shaped by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southwesterly winds.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, though localized variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture could produce a slightly cooler reading near 12 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with probabilities tightly grouped from 10–13 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest but non-zero for modest cooling if showers enhance evaporative effects or if winds remain lighter than projected. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical minima near 12–14 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus appears slightly milder due to the specific synoptic setup. Updated runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine the precise overnight minimum and any associated market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a transitional air mass over Ankara on September 22, with daytime highs near 22–24 °C giving way to overnight lows shaped by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and light southwesterly winds.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 13–15 °C, though localized variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture could produce a slightly cooler reading near 12 °C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with probabilities tightly grouped from 10–13 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest but non-zero for modest cooling if showers enhance evaporative effects or if winds remain lighter than projected. Historical September climatology for the city shows typical minima near 12–14 °C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus appears slightly milder due to the specific synoptic setup. Updated runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and ECMWF ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine the precise overnight minimum and any associated market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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