Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 25 settembre?
23°C o superiore 80%
13°C o inferiore 78%
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
13°C o inferiore
78%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C o superiore
80%
23°C o superiore 80%
13°C o inferiore 78%
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
13°C o inferiore
78%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C o superiore
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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