Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 21 agosto?
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
20°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
17%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
55%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
20°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
17°C or below
$76 Vol.
17%
18°C
$56 Vol.
26%
19°C
$56 Vol.
18%
20°C
$50 Vol.
34%
21°C
$0 Vol.
34%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$20 Vol.
55%
25°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$472Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$472Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti