Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 likely near 20–22°C amid ongoing Huaxi autumn rain, characterized by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This pattern, driven by regional atmospheric circulation favoring prolonged precipitation, aligns with historical September baselines where lows average around 19°C but can vary with exact rainfall timing and humidity levels. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 22°C and warmer outcomes near 26°C or above, reflecting model uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation intensity over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will provide key data shifts ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 19 settembre?
26°C o superiore 73%
16°C o inferiore 63%
22°C 40%
25°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
63%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
30%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C
19%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
73%
26°C o superiore 73%
16°C o inferiore 63%
22°C 40%
25°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
63%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
30%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C
19%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 likely near 20–22°C amid ongoing Huaxi autumn rain, characterized by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This pattern, driven by regional atmospheric circulation favoring prolonged precipitation, aligns with historical September baselines where lows average around 19°C but can vary with exact rainfall timing and humidity levels. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 22°C and warmer outcomes near 26°C or above, reflecting model uncertainties in steering patterns and precipitation intensity over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and local observations will provide key data shifts ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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