**Current forecast models from regional meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 24 most likely between 21–24°C, driven by persistent light rain, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit both daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling.** High humidity levels near 85–95% further moderate extremes by enhancing the thermal mass of the air mass. These conditions align with typical late-September patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where monsoon remnants and topographic effects often produce stable, muggy weather rather than sharp drops or heat spikes. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between cooler and warmer buckets because short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the central tendency, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any clearing or increased wind. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine market-implied odds.