Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 19 indicates a minimum near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight market clustering between 16°C (39%) and 17°C (40%). Primary uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread in overnight radiative cooling rates and urban heat island retention at official stations, where even modest increases in low-level moisture or Atlantic advection could lift readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports typical lows around 13–14°C, yet current high-pressure influence favors the observed trader consensus. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine boundary-layer forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 agosto?
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
9%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
18°C 14%
14°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C
$5 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
9%
16°C
$198 Vol.
37%
17°C
$429 Vol.
39%
18°C
$29 Vol.
14%
19°C
$4 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 19 indicates a minimum near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight market clustering between 16°C (39%) and 17°C (40%). Primary uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread in overnight radiative cooling rates and urban heat island retention at official stations, where even modest increases in low-level moisture or Atlantic advection could lift readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports typical lows around 13–14°C, yet current high-pressure influence favors the observed trader consensus. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine boundary-layer forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$668Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 19 indicates a minimum near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight market clustering between 16°C (39%) and 17°C (40%). Primary uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread in overnight radiative cooling rates and urban heat island retention at official stations, where even modest increases in low-level moisture or Atlantic advection could lift readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports typical lows around 13–14°C, yet current high-pressure influence favors the observed trader consensus. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine boundary-layer forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$668Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 19 indicates a minimum near 15°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight market clustering between 16°C (39%) and 17°C (40%). Primary uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread in overnight radiative cooling rates and urban heat island retention at official stations, where even modest increases in low-level moisture or Atlantic advection could lift readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports typical lows around 13–14°C, yet current high-pressure influence favors the observed trader consensus. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs expected within 24 hours will likely refine boundary-layer forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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