Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds will likely produce a London minimum of 11–13°C on August 22, after thundery showers ease. This aligns with climatological August lows near 14°C and explains the market-implied 51.5% probability on 12°C and 34.5% on 13°C. Updated runs show limited model spread, with only modest upside risk to 14°C if cloud persists and negligible chance of 10°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic forecasts ahead of final observational verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 22 agosto?
12°C 52%
13°C 35%
11°C 13%
14°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
13%
12°C
52%
13°C
35%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 52%
13°C 35%
11°C 13%
14°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$16 Vol.
1%
11°C
$91 Vol.
13%
12°C
$880 Vol.
52%
13°C
$273 Vol.
35%
14°C
$48 Vol.
5%
15°C
$25 Vol.
1%
16°C
$32 Vol.
1%
17°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds will likely produce a London minimum of 11–13°C on August 22, after thundery showers ease. This aligns with climatological August lows near 14°C and explains the market-implied 51.5% probability on 12°C and 34.5% on 13°C. Updated runs show limited model spread, with only modest upside risk to 14°C if cloud persists and negligible chance of 10°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic forecasts ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,700Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds will likely produce a London minimum of 11–13°C on August 22, after thundery showers ease. This aligns with climatological August lows near 14°C and explains the market-implied 51.5% probability on 12°C and 34.5% on 13°C. Updated runs show limited model spread, with only modest upside risk to 14°C if cloud persists and negligible chance of 10°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic forecasts ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,700Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies and light winds will likely produce a London minimum of 11–13°C on August 22, after thundery showers ease. This aligns with climatological August lows near 14°C and explains the market-implied 51.5% probability on 12°C and 34.5% on 13°C. Updated runs show limited model spread, with only modest upside risk to 14°C if cloud persists and negligible chance of 10°C or below given current steering patterns. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic forecasts ahead of final observational verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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