Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus indicates an overnight low near 15–16 °C for London on 30 August amid a mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and light-to-moderate winds that suppress radiative cooling. Recent days have featured above-average temperatures and unsettled conditions with showers, keeping the boundary layer warmer than the 13 °C climatological average low. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C market probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speeds overnight, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs and observations through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 30 agosto?
16°C 45%
17°C 38%
15°C 24%
14°C 17%
11°C o inferiore
2%
12°C
15%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
24%
16°C
45%
17°C
38%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
16%
16°C 45%
17°C 38%
15°C 24%
14°C 17%
11°C o inferiore
2%
12°C
15%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
24%
16°C
45%
17°C
38%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ECMWF model consensus indicates an overnight low near 15–16 °C for London on 30 August amid a mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud, and light-to-moderate winds that suppress radiative cooling. Recent days have featured above-average temperatures and unsettled conditions with showers, keeping the boundary layer warmer than the 13 °C climatological average low. The tight clustering between 16 °C and 17 °C market probabilities reflects modest uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind speeds overnight, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and lighter winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs and observations through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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