Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and Atlantic air masses that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's dominant 67% implied probability for 17°C, alongside 20% for 18°C, as models show temperatures holding in a narrow 16–19°C range amid unsettled conditions with showers. Historical late-August baselines for the region average similar mild lows around 15–17°C, with current data releases from monitoring stations reinforcing trader consensus on this outcome rather than sharper drops or warmer anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 29 agosto?
17°C 73%
18°C 20%
16°C 7%
15°C 1.2%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
67%
18°C
20%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 73%
18°C 20%
16°C 7%
15°C 1.2%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
67%
18°C
20%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and Atlantic air masses that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's dominant 67% implied probability for 17°C, alongside 20% for 18°C, as models show temperatures holding in a narrow 16–19°C range amid unsettled conditions with showers. Historical late-August baselines for the region average similar mild lows around 15–17°C, with current data releases from monitoring stations reinforcing trader consensus on this outcome rather than sharper drops or warmer anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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