Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a cooling trend after London's mid-July heatwave, with high pressure yielding clearer overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling and position the July 19 minimum near or below the 14°C forecast. Typical July climatological lows range 14–16°C, but reduced cloud cover and lighter winds compared with recent humid nights increase the chance of temperatures dipping toward 10–12°C, driving the 47% implied probability on 10°C or below. Trader consensus clusters around 11–14°C outcomes because forecast spreads remain modest yet favor the lower end of guidance, with resolution depending on the precise urban station reading and any last-minute model shifts before the 48-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 luglio?
14°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,085 Vol.
$14,085 Vol.
19 lug 2026
10°C o inferiore
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,085 Vol.
$14,085 Vol.
19 lug 2026
10°C o inferiore
$816 Vol.
No
11°C
$899 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,395 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,352 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,989 Vol.
Sì
15°C
$1,425 Vol.
No
16°C
$579 Vol.
No
17°C
$382 Vol.
No
18°C
$403 Vol.
No
19°C
$431 Vol.
No
20°C o superiore
$415 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a cooling trend after London's mid-July heatwave, with high pressure yielding clearer overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling and position the July 19 minimum near or below the 14°C forecast. Typical July climatological lows range 14–16°C, but reduced cloud cover and lighter winds compared with recent humid nights increase the chance of temperatures dipping toward 10–12°C, driving the 47% implied probability on 10°C or below. Trader consensus clusters around 11–14°C outcomes because forecast spreads remain modest yet favor the lower end of guidance, with resolution depending on the precise urban station reading and any last-minute model shifts before the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,085Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a cooling trend after London's mid-July heatwave, with high pressure yielding clearer overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling and position the July 19 minimum near or below the 14°C forecast. Typical July climatological lows range 14–16°C, but reduced cloud cover and lighter winds compared with recent humid nights increase the chance of temperatures dipping toward 10–12°C, driving the 47% implied probability on 10°C or below. Trader consensus clusters around 11–14°C outcomes because forecast spreads remain modest yet favor the lower end of guidance, with resolution depending on the precise urban station reading and any last-minute model shifts before the 48-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,085Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a cooling trend after London's mid-July heatwave, with high pressure yielding clearer overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling and position the July 19 minimum near or below the 14°C forecast. Typical July climatological lows range 14–16°C, but reduced cloud cover and lighter winds compared with recent humid nights increase the chance of temperatures dipping toward 10–12°C, driving the 47% implied probability on 10°C or below. Trader consensus clusters around 11–14°C outcomes because forecast spreads remain modest yet favor the lower end of guidance, with resolution depending on the precise urban station reading and any last-minute model shifts before the 48-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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