Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 giugno?
13°C 100.0%
7°C o meno <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
7°C o meno
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sì
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C o meno <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$22,080 Vol.
$22,080 Vol.
7°C o meno
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sì
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from the Met Office and London weather stations recorded a daily minimum of exactly 13°C on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This reading reflects typical early-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling while daytime highs remained moderate. Model guidance and historical climatology for mid-June supported temperatures clustered around this level, with little variance across ensemble runs. The sole realistic challenge would involve a post-event data revision or station anomaly, though such adjustments are rare for established urban networks and would require confirmation from multiple authoritative sources before altering resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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