Recent forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS runs points to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–18°C in London on September 7, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping values above the 12.2°C long-term average low for the date while still allowing the daily minimum to settle near 16–17°C according to several model outputs. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest and no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions are projected in the next 48 hours. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the coming day will likely refine the precise hourly minimum that determines resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 7 settembre?
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 15%
16°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
8%
14°C
12%
15°C
12%
16°C
13%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C
15%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
1%
18°C 48%
17°C 25%
19°C 15%
16°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C
$100 Vol.
13%
17°C
$111 Vol.
25%
18°C
$441 Vol.
48%
19°C
$131 Vol.
15%
20°C
$50 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS runs points to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–18°C in London on September 7, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping values above the 12.2°C long-term average low for the date while still allowing the daily minimum to settle near 16–17°C according to several model outputs. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest and no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions are projected in the next 48 hours. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the coming day will likely refine the precise hourly minimum that determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$833Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS runs points to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–18°C in London on September 7, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping values above the 12.2°C long-term average low for the date while still allowing the daily minimum to settle near 16–17°C according to several model outputs. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest and no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions are projected in the next 48 hours. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the coming day will likely refine the precise hourly minimum that determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$833Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Met Office and GFS runs points to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–18°C in London on September 7, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C and 17°C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping values above the 12.2°C long-term average low for the date while still allowing the daily minimum to settle near 16–17°C according to several model outputs. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest and no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions are projected in the next 48 hours. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings over the coming day will likely refine the precise hourly minimum that determines resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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