Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–27°C for Lucknow on September 1, driven by continued southwest monsoon cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent late-August observations show overnight lows holding at 26–27°C amid generally cloudy skies and light rain, consistent with seasonal norms for the region during active monsoon conditions. Model consensus points to modest variability from rainfall timing and wind patterns, which explains the tight market clustering around 25°C and 26°C outcomes; stronger or more persistent showers could nudge the minimum slightly lower, while clearer breaks would support the upper end of the range. Upcoming IMD updates and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.