Persistent monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over northern India are suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance pointing to a maximum of 31°C on September 1 amid spells of rain or thundershowers. Multiple forecast models converge on highs of 28–31°C, reflecting the cooling effect of precipitation and reduced insolation typical of peak monsoon. This scientific context supports the market's tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above reflect limited potential for brief clearing that could allow modest warming. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 1° settembre?
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 18%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 18%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
25°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$5 Vol.
18%
30°C
$9 Vol.
30%
31°C
$157 Vol.
24%
32°C
$13 Vol.
11%
33°C
$3 Vol.
3%
34°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over northern India are suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance pointing to a maximum of 31°C on September 1 amid spells of rain or thundershowers. Multiple forecast models converge on highs of 28–31°C, reflecting the cooling effect of precipitation and reduced insolation typical of peak monsoon. This scientific context supports the market's tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above reflect limited potential for brief clearing that could allow modest warming. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$278Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over northern India are suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance pointing to a maximum of 31°C on September 1 amid spells of rain or thundershowers. Multiple forecast models converge on highs of 28–31°C, reflecting the cooling effect of precipitation and reduced insolation typical of peak monsoon. This scientific context supports the market's tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above reflect limited potential for brief clearing that could allow modest warming. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$278Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over northern India are suppressing daytime heating in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance pointing to a maximum of 31°C on September 1 amid spells of rain or thundershowers. Multiple forecast models converge on highs of 28–31°C, reflecting the cooling effect of precipitation and reduced insolation typical of peak monsoon. This scientific context supports the market's tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above reflect limited potential for brief clearing that could allow modest warming. Updated model runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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