Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a 60-70% chance of thunderstorms and cloud cover on September 24, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 24-26°C. The southwest monsoon remains active in the region with variable moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing inconsistent rainfall that elevates humidity and soil moisture, both of which suppress sharp nighttime drops. Clear-sky periods would allow greater longwave radiation loss and cooler minima, while persistent clouds or showers favor warmer readings. Current model consensus and recent observations (minimums of 24-28°C) create balanced market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and convective activity ahead of the forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 24 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 98%
31°C o superiore 98%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o superiore
98%
21°C o inferiore 98%
31°C o superiore 98%
22°C 39%
26°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a 60-70% chance of thunderstorms and cloud cover on September 24, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 24-26°C. The southwest monsoon remains active in the region with variable moisture from the Bay of Bengal, producing inconsistent rainfall that elevates humidity and soil moisture, both of which suppress sharp nighttime drops. Clear-sky periods would allow greater longwave radiation loss and cooler minima, while persistent clouds or showers favor warmer readings. Current model consensus and recent observations (minimums of 24-28°C) create balanced market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and convective activity ahead of the forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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