PAGASA's latest forecast for Manila on August 21 projects a minimum near 24–25°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, with 60–70% rain chances and persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's clustered 26–28°C outcomes at roughly 33–34% each. Persistent humidity and overcast skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in the tropical maritime climate, where average August lows hover around 25°C; scattered showers may enhance localized evaporative effects or brief wind shifts that nudge temperatures slightly lower or hold them higher depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid monsoon conditions, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA station readings and any late-day model updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 21 agosto?
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
58%
24°C
58%
25°C
59%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
45%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
58%
24°C
$104 Vol.
58%
25°C
$94 Vol.
59%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$10 Vol.
45%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecast for Manila on August 21 projects a minimum near 24–25°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, with 60–70% rain chances and persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's clustered 26–28°C outcomes at roughly 33–34% each. Persistent humidity and overcast skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in the tropical maritime climate, where average August lows hover around 25°C; scattered showers may enhance localized evaporative effects or brief wind shifts that nudge temperatures slightly lower or hold them higher depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid monsoon conditions, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA station readings and any late-day model updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$775Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest forecast for Manila on August 21 projects a minimum near 24–25°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, with 60–70% rain chances and persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's clustered 26–28°C outcomes at roughly 33–34% each. Persistent humidity and overcast skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in the tropical maritime climate, where average August lows hover around 25°C; scattered showers may enhance localized evaporative effects or brief wind shifts that nudge temperatures slightly lower or hold them higher depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid monsoon conditions, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA station readings and any late-day model updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$775Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast for Manila on August 21 projects a minimum near 24–25°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, with 60–70% rain chances and persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's clustered 26–28°C outcomes at roughly 33–34% each. Persistent humidity and overcast skies limit nocturnal radiative cooling typical in the tropical maritime climate, where average August lows hover around 25°C; scattered showers may enhance localized evaporative effects or brief wind shifts that nudge temperatures slightly lower or hold them higher depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical diurnal ranges of 4–6°C amid monsoon conditions, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA station readings and any late-day model updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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