Strong trader consensus around an 78–79°F minimum reflects persistent subtropical summer conditions across South Florida, where warm, humid air masses and limited overnight radiational cooling typically hold lows near or above the 78°F August climatological average. Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance show overnight temperatures anchored in the upper 70s, consistent with model runs indicating continued easterly flow and high dew points that suppress diurnal drops. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for early August at Miami International Airport, where sub-76°F readings are rare without atypical frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions promoting greater cooling, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 7 agosto?
78-79°F 98%
76-77°F 3%
74-75°F 1.0%
72-73°F <1%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 98%
76-77°F 3%
74-75°F 1.0%
72-73°F <1%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around an 78–79°F minimum reflects persistent subtropical summer conditions across South Florida, where warm, humid air masses and limited overnight radiational cooling typically hold lows near or above the 78°F August climatological average. Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance show overnight temperatures anchored in the upper 70s, consistent with model runs indicating continued easterly flow and high dew points that suppress diurnal drops. This positioning aligns with historical patterns for early August at Miami International Airport, where sub-76°F readings are rare without atypical frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions promoting greater cooling, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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