Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC highlight thundery showers and easterly breezes over Milan on August 21, 2026, promoting overnight cooling through increased cloud cover and potential evaporative effects that suppress minimum temperatures. Model consensus points to lows near 15–20°C, with variability arising from exact timing of precipitation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention in the Po Valley. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–18°C brackets, where traders weigh official station data against historical August averages of 17–19°C lows and the risk of localized drops below 14°C if storms intensify. Upcoming hourly observations from Milan-Linate will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 21 agosto?
13°C o inferiore 49%
15°C 48%
14°C 47%
16°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
13°C o inferiore
49%
14°C
47%
15°C
48%
16°C
34%
17°C
34%
18°C
34%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
13°C o inferiore 49%
15°C 48%
14°C 47%
16°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
13°C o inferiore
$92 Vol.
49%
14°C
$98 Vol.
47%
15°C
$92 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
34%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC highlight thundery showers and easterly breezes over Milan on August 21, 2026, promoting overnight cooling through increased cloud cover and potential evaporative effects that suppress minimum temperatures. Model consensus points to lows near 15–20°C, with variability arising from exact timing of precipitation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention in the Po Valley. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–18°C brackets, where traders weigh official station data against historical August averages of 17–19°C lows and the risk of localized drops below 14°C if storms intensify. Upcoming hourly observations from Milan-Linate will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,032Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC highlight thundery showers and easterly breezes over Milan on August 21, 2026, promoting overnight cooling through increased cloud cover and potential evaporative effects that suppress minimum temperatures. Model consensus points to lows near 15–20°C, with variability arising from exact timing of precipitation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention in the Po Valley. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–18°C brackets, where traders weigh official station data against historical August averages of 17–19°C lows and the risk of localized drops below 14°C if storms intensify. Upcoming hourly observations from Milan-Linate will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,032Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC highlight thundery showers and easterly breezes over Milan on August 21, 2026, promoting overnight cooling through increased cloud cover and potential evaporative effects that suppress minimum temperatures. Model consensus points to lows near 15–20°C, with variability arising from exact timing of precipitation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention in the Po Valley. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–18°C brackets, where traders weigh official station data against historical August averages of 17–19°C lows and the risk of localized drops below 14°C if storms intensify. Upcoming hourly observations from Milan-Linate will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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