Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated as of September 18, forecast a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Stable high pressure supports modest overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air, aligning with the market's concentration on 11–13°C outcomes that together exceed 90% implied probability. Historical September norms place the average low near 11°C, but recent conditions have trended slightly warmer, narrowing uncertainty around these thresholds. Forecasters expect final observations from Météo-France stations to resolve the market within this narrow band, with minimal risk of outliers unless model guidance shifts overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 19 settembre?
12°C 41%
13°C 29%
11°C 19%
14°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
19%
12°C
41%
13°C
29%
14°C
15%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
12°C 41%
13°C 29%
11°C 19%
14°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$41 Vol.
1%
11°C
$381 Vol.
19%
12°C
$619 Vol.
41%
13°C
$2,801 Vol.
29%
14°C
$301 Vol.
15%
15°C
$70 Vol.
6%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$36 Vol.
1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
1%
20°C o superiore
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated as of September 18, forecast a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Stable high pressure supports modest overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air, aligning with the market's concentration on 11–13°C outcomes that together exceed 90% implied probability. Historical September norms place the average low near 11°C, but recent conditions have trended slightly warmer, narrowing uncertainty around these thresholds. Forecasters expect final observations from Météo-France stations to resolve the market within this narrow band, with minimal risk of outliers unless model guidance shifts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,316Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated as of September 18, forecast a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Stable high pressure supports modest overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air, aligning with the market's concentration on 11–13°C outcomes that together exceed 90% implied probability. Historical September norms place the average low near 11°C, but recent conditions have trended slightly warmer, narrowing uncertainty around these thresholds. Forecasters expect final observations from Météo-France stations to resolve the market within this narrow band, with minimal risk of outliers unless model guidance shifts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,316Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs updated as of September 18, forecast a minimum temperature in Paris on September 19 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Stable high pressure supports modest overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air, aligning with the market's concentration on 11–13°C outcomes that together exceed 90% implied probability. Historical September norms place the average low near 11°C, but recent conditions have trended slightly warmer, narrowing uncertainty around these thresholds. Forecasters expect final observations from Météo-France stations to resolve the market within this narrow band, with minimal risk of outliers unless model guidance shifts overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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