Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C on September 21, with models showing modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This narrow range creates the tight market split, as small variations in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C through differences in radiative cooling and marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Clear conditions favor lower readings near or below 16°C by enhancing heat loss, while increased humidity or breeze could hold minima closer to 18–20°C. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure setup and lack of frontal systems keep outcomes finely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 21 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 100%
20°C 98%
16°C 97%
17°C 50%
15°C o inferiore
100%
16°C
97%
17°C
50%
18°C
21%
19°C
47%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
15°C o inferiore 100%
20°C 98%
16°C 97%
17°C 50%
15°C o inferiore
100%
16°C
97%
17°C
50%
18°C
21%
19°C
47%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C on September 21, with models showing modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This narrow range creates the tight market split, as small variations in cloud cover or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C through differences in radiative cooling and marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Clear conditions favor lower readings near or below 16°C by enhancing heat loss, while increased humidity or breeze could hold minima closer to 18–20°C. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure setup and lack of frontal systems keep outcomes finely balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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