Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Incheon near 19–20°C on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds, favoring the market's elevated implied probabilities around 18–20°C while leaving room for cooler readings if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns, though model consensus shows limited spread and no major cold-air intrusion expected in the next 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh potential for slight forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects against historical variability, with updated model runs and official briefings likely to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 6 settembre?
14°C o inferiore 100%
22°C 32%
16°C 26%
20°C 26%
14°C o inferiore
100%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C o superiore
2%
14°C o inferiore 100%
22°C 32%
16°C 26%
20°C 26%
14°C o inferiore
100%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Incheon near 19–20°C on September 6 under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds, favoring the market's elevated implied probabilities around 18–20°C while leaving room for cooler readings if radiative cooling strengthens overnight. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover near 18–21°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns, though model consensus shows limited spread and no major cold-air intrusion expected in the next 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh potential for slight forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects against historical variability, with updated model runs and official briefings likely to refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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