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icon for La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?

icon for La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?

La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?

25°C 47%

26°C 47%

27°C 45%

29°C 45%

Polymarket
NUOVO

25°C 47%

26°C 47%

27°C 45%

29°C 45%

Polymarket
NUOVO

22°C or below

$0 Vol.

6%

23°C

$0 Vol.

24%

24°C

$0 Vol.

26%

25°C

$0 Vol.

47%

26°C

$0 Vol.

47%

27°C

$0 Vol.

45%

28°C

$0 Vol.

36%

29°C

$0 Vol.

45%

30°C

$0 Vol.

1%

31°C

$0 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Singapore's equatorial location produces highly stable temperatures year-round, with September overnight minima typically averaging 25–26°C due to high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling overnight.** Current short-range forecasts for September 1, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C (roughly 81–82°F), driven by a warm, moist air mass, light southeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes of 27°C (45.5% implied probability) and 28°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited cooling potential. Historical climatology reinforces this positioning: Singapore's record lows rarely dip below 23°C even in cooler months, and recent August 2026 observations show nighttime readings holding near 26–28°C amid typical inter-monsoon patterns. The elevated probabilities for 27–28°C capture the narrow uncertainty band in ensemble forecasts, while lower outcomes (e.g., 25°C or below) carry reduced weight absent any anomalous steering patterns or dry-air intrusions. No major recent developments—such as unusual sea-surface temperature anomalies or strong monsoon surges—have shifted the outlook, keeping trader focus on the next official forecast updates and observational data from Changi Airport as September 1 approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Singapore's equatorial location produces highly stable temperatures year-round, with September overnight minima typically averaging 25–26°C due to high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling overnight.** Current short-range forecasts for September 1, 2026, from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local models indicate overnight lows of 27–28°C (roughly 81–82°F), driven by a warm, moist air mass, light southeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes of 27°C (45.5% implied probability) and 28°C (33.5%), reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited cooling potential. Historical climatology reinforces this positioning: Singapore's record lows rarely dip below 23°C even in cooler months, and recent August 2026 observations show nighttime readings holding near 26–28°C amid typical inter-monsoon patterns. The elevated probabilities for 27–28°C capture the narrow uncertainty band in ensemble forecasts, while lower outcomes (e.g., 25°C or below) carry reduced weight absent any anomalous steering patterns or dry-air intrusions. No major recent developments—such as unusual sea-surface temperature anomalies or strong monsoon surges—have shifted the outlook, keeping trader focus on the next official forecast updates and observational data from Changi Airport as September 1 approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
1 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "27°C" a 46%, seguito da "28°C" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?" è "27°C" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "28°C" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 1° settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.