Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Taipei's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 22–25°C range under persistent easterly flow and a stable subtropical ridge. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through moderate humidity and light winds, while daytime heating reaches the low 30s°C. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influence that could alter overnight lows by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus around typical late-summer values. Updated high-resolution runs and Central Weather Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 25 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 100%
30°C o superiore 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
20°C o inferiore
100%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C o superiore
98%
20°C o inferiore 100%
30°C o superiore 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
20°C o inferiore
100%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C o superiore
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS ensembles, indicate Taipei's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely fall in the 22–25°C range under persistent easterly flow and a stable subtropical ridge. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling through moderate humidity and light winds, while daytime heating reaches the low 30s°C. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influence that could alter overnight lows by a few degrees. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus around typical late-summer values. Updated high-resolution runs and Central Weather Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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