Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan through September 5, followed by a shift to northeasterly flow, is the main driver positioning cooler overnight minima for Taipei on September 7. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models show clearing skies and reduced humidity overnight, supporting radiative cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors daily lows near 22–24°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 19°C or below leads at 47% and exact values around 23–24°C hold 35–36%. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 24°C, but the post-rain wind change introduces downside risk to those baselines. New model runs and CWA updates through the day will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 7 settembre?
19°C o inferiore 80%
20°C 46%
21°C 46%
24°C 36%
19°C o inferiore
80%
20°C
46%
21°C
46%
22°C
11%
23°C
35%
24°C
36%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C o superiore
14%
19°C o inferiore 80%
20°C 46%
21°C 46%
24°C 36%
19°C o inferiore
80%
20°C
46%
21°C
46%
22°C
11%
23°C
35%
24°C
36%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C o superiore
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan through September 5, followed by a shift to northeasterly flow, is the main driver positioning cooler overnight minima for Taipei on September 7. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models show clearing skies and reduced humidity overnight, supporting radiative cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors daily lows near 22–24°C, aligning with market-implied odds where 19°C or below leads at 47% and exact values around 23–24°C hold 35–36%. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 24°C, but the post-rain wind change introduces downside risk to those baselines. New model runs and CWA updates through the day will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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