Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 12 settembre?
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 Vol.
$988 Vol.
12 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
24°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$988 Vol.
$988 Vol.
12 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$45 Vol.
No
20°C
$0 Vol.
No
21°C
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$59 Vol.
No
23°C
$25 Vol.
No
24°C
$82 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$174 Vol.
No
26°C
$559 Vol.
No
27°C
$15 Vol.
No
28°C
$15 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$988Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$988Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 24°C on September 12, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for that threshold. Stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal moisture advection are limiting nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observational data and short-range model runs show little deviation, with lows holding between 24–25°C and negligible risk of sharper drops from unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily against lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below, as updated guidance through the evening reinforces the central tendency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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